[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT SEP 14 2002

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS...

SATELLITE IMAGES AND DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE PLANE INDICATE THAT 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN HAS FORMED FROM THE TROPICAL WAVE THAT HAS 
BEEN TRACKED THROUGH THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC DURING THE PAST SEVERAL 
DAYS.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL 
DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  
61.5 WEST...VERY NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF TRINIDAD IN THE 
SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR. 
ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL BE MOVING OVER THE 
EXTREME NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS.   
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS 1009 
MB...29.80 INCHES.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER THE 
PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...10.1 N...61.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN


Webmaster