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SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT MON SEP 09 2002

...GUSTAV THREATENING MID-ATLANTIC COAST...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA...
INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH
LIGHT NORTHWARD TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE
SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT VIRGINIA.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM
GUSTAV WAS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...
LONGITUDE  73.2 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE 
HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
 
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS 
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A 
GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL 
APPROACH THE MID-ATLANTIC U.S. COAST LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY. 
HOWEVER...SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE UNTIL THE CENTER OF 
CIRCULATION BECOMES BETTER DEFINED.   
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE U.S.
EAST COAST FROM NEW JERSEY SOUTHWARD TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST
TODAY.

REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...31.6 N... 73.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH
 
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