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HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2002

...GUSTAV RACING NORTHEASTWARD NEAR NOVA SCOTIA...
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 45.0 NORTH...  LONGITUDE 61.0 WEST OR ABOUT 90
MILES...145 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SYDNEY NOVA SCOTIA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 46 MPH ...74 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THURSDAY.  ON THIS
TRACK GUSTAV WILL BE PASSING NEAR THE EASTERN END OF NOVA SCOTIA
DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND OVER NEWFOUNDLAND ON THURSDAY.  THE
CANADIAN GOVERNMENT HAS ISSUED HEAVY RAINFALL AND HIGH WIND WARNINGS
FOR SOUTHERN NEW BRUNSWICK...PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND...NOVA SCOTIA AND
NORTHWEST NEWFOUNDLAND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  GUSTAV
SHOULD LOSE ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS ON THURSDAY AND BECOME A
LARGE EXTRATROPICAL STORM.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES...140 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 520 MILES...835 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  964 MB...28.47 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...45.0 N... 61.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 46 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 80 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT...THURSDAY.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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