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TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2002

... CENTER OF GUSTAV PASSING JUST EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS...
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...ALL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED WEST OF
BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BOGUE INLET TO
PARRAMORE ISLAND VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS...AND INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW
POINT COMFORT VIRGINIA.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.3 WEST OR ABOUT
20 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
 
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH.  A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.  THIS
MOTION SHOULD KEEP THE CENTER NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS
EARLY TONIGHT...THEN MOVE GUSTAV AWAY FROM THE U. S. COAST LATER
TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND GUSTAV
COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES FROM THE 
CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  984 MB...29.06 INCHES.  THE
AUTOMATED STATION AT DIAMOND SHOALS NORTH CAROLINA RECENTLY REPORTED
A PRESSURE OF 984.8 MB...29.08 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS 
POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTH END OF PAMLICO SOUND.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 
1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE IN THE 
WARNING AREA.  THIS FLOODING SHOULD DIMINISH LATER TONIGHT.  HIGH
SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE U.S. EAST
COAST FROM NEW YORK SOUTHWARD TO THE NORTHERN FLORIDA COAST TONIGHT.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TODAY WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...35.3 N... 75.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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