[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON SEP 09 2002

...GUSTAV CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHWARD TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH
LIGHT NORTHWARD TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE
SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT VIRGINIA.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT GUSTAV CONTINUES TO HAVE THE CHARACTERISTICS OF A SUBTROPICAL
STORM...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER. 
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.8 WEST OR ABOUT
220 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
 
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH...15 KM/HR...
AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE
CENTER NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST ON TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
REPORTS FROM NOAA BUOY 41002 INDICATE THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

OBSERVATIONS FROM TIDE GAUGES IN THE SOUTH END OF THE PAMLICO SOUND
INDICATE STORM SURGE FLOODING OF ABOUT 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1-3 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE IN THE WARNING
AREA.  HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE
U.S. EAST COAST FROM NEW JERSEY SOUTHWARD TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA
COAST TODAY.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO FOUR INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA TONIGHT.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...32.2 N... 74.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
NNNN


Webmaster