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TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   6A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1 AM CDT SAT SEP 07 2002
 
...FAY DRIFTING WESTWARD... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PORT ARANSAS TEXAS TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM PORT OCONNOR TO HIGH ISLAND
TEXAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
AT 1 AM CDT...0600Z...THE BROAD AND POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE
95.5 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

FAY HAS BEEN DRIFTING ERRATICALLY IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION 
AND A SLOW WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON 
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA 
LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY AND WINDS COULD APPROACH
HURRICANE STRENGTH PRIOR TO LANDFALL. 

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES TO THE 
NORTH OF THE CENTER. WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WERE REPORTED RECENTLY AT 
GALVESTON ISLAND. 
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT 
IS  1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS IN ASSOCIATION WITH FAY OF 4 TO 8 
INCHES ARE EXPECTED...MAINLY NORTH OF THE CENTER...WITH SOME LOCALLY 
HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

THE STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO REACH 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 1 AM CDT POSITION...28.0 N... 95.5 W.  MOVEMENT
DRIFTING WEST.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 1000 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 AM CDT.

FORECASTER PASCH
 
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