ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT THU SEP 05 2002
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION POORLY ORGANIZED...ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE
AREA OF RAIN...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MATAGORDA TEXAS TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
24 HOURS.
SATELLITE...RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS A LARGE CIRCULATION BUT A POORLY DEFINED
CENTER.
AT 7 PM CDT...2100Z...THE BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION
WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST OR
ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS. A RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE WILL BE IN THE AREA SHORTLY.
THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MEANDERING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.
BECAUSE STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK...A SLOW AND ERRATIC MOTION IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE DEPRESSION IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TONIGHT OR FRIDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCAL
AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 10 INCHES NEAR THE COASTLINE.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS WITH ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...28.0 N... 94.0 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
Webmaster