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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU SEP 05 2002

...TROPICAL STORM FAY...THE SIXTH OF THE SEASON...FORMS IN THE GULF 
OF MEXICO... 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MATAGORDA TEXAS TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
24 HOURS.

A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FOUND STRONG ENOUGH WINDS TO UPGRADE TROPICAL 
DEPRESSION SIX TO TROPICAL STORM FAY. 
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
FAY WAS ESTIAMTED TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.3 
WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.
 
FAY IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH 
FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...BUT ONLY 
TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCAL 
AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 10 INCHES NEAR THE COASTLINE.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS WITH ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...28.0 N... 93.3 W.  MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM
CDT...FRIDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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