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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED OCT 16 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.5N  76.0W      35  7  X  X 42   MYAK 241N 776W    62  X  X  X 62
30.0N  72.0W       X 19  X  X 19   MYNN 251N 775W    53  X  X  X 53
MUCM 214N 779W     7  X  X  X  7   MYGF 266N 787W    20  2  X  X 22
MUCF 221N 805W    99  X  X  X 99   MIAMI FL           3  X  X  X  3
MYSM 241N 745W    10  7  X  X 17   W PALM BEACH FL    2  1  X  X  3
MYEG 235N 758W    24  2  X  X 26
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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