HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  51
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU OCT 03 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  92.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT SUN OCT  6 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
39.7N  84.1W      28  4  X  X 32   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  4  X  X  4
43.5N  75.7W       X 14  X  X 14   PROVIDENCE RI      X  3  X  X  3
                  99  X  X  X 99   HYANNIS MA         X  2  X  X  2
OCEAN CITY MD      X  3  X  X  3   BOSTON MA          X  3  X  X  3
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  6  X  X  6   PORTLAND ME        X  2  X  X  2
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  7  X  X  7
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM FRI TO  7AM SAT
C FROM  7AM SAT TO  7PM SAT
D FROM  7PM SAT TO  7PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN