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TROPICAL STORM LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  50
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU OCT 03 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  92.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT SUN OCT  6 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
37.5N  87.5W      36  5  X  X 41                     99  X  X  X 99
41.5N  81.0W       X 20  X  X 20   NEW IBERIA LA     99  X  X  X 99
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM FRI TO  1AM SAT
C FROM  1AM SAT TO  1PM SAT
D FROM  1PM SAT TO  1PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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