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HURRICANE LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  49
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT THU OCT 03 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  92.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT SUN OCT  6 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
35.0N  90.5W      39  4  X  X 43   NEW ORLEANS LA    22  X  X  X 22
40.0N  85.0W       X 15  X  X 15   NEW IBERIA LA     99  X  X  X 99
                  99  X  X  X 99   PORT ARTHUR TX    16  X  X  X 16
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM FRI TO  7PM FRI
C FROM  7PM FRI TO  7AM SAT
D FROM  7AM SAT TO  7AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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