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HURRICANE LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER 48
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT THU OCT 03 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT SUN OCT 6 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
33.4N 91.0W 42 2 X X 44 NEW ORLEANS LA 31 X X X 31
37.5N 87.5W X 19 X X 19 NEW IBERIA LA 83 X X X 83
99 X X X 99 PORT ARTHUR TX 21 X X X 21
MOBILE AL 2 1 X X 3 GULF 28N 91W 99 X X X 99
GULFPORT MS 5 X X X 5 GULF 28N 93W 6 X X X 6
BURAS LA 3 X X X 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM FRI TO 1PM FRI
C FROM 1PM FRI TO 1AM SAT
D FROM 1AM SAT TO 1AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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