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HURRICANE LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  48
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT THU OCT 03 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  91.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT SUN OCT  6 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
33.4N  91.0W      42  2  X  X 44   NEW ORLEANS LA    31  X  X  X 31
37.5N  87.5W       X 19  X  X 19   NEW IBERIA LA     83  X  X  X 83
                  99  X  X  X 99   PORT ARTHUR TX    21  X  X  X 21
MOBILE AL          2  1  X  X  3   GULF 28N 91W      99  X  X  X 99
GULFPORT MS        5  X  X  X  5   GULF 28N 93W       6  X  X  X  6
BURAS LA           3  X  X  X  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM FRI TO  1PM FRI
C FROM  1PM FRI TO  1AM SAT
D FROM  1AM SAT TO  1AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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