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HURRICANE LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  47
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT WED OCT 02 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  90.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT SAT OCT  5 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
31.8N  91.5W      48  3  X  X 51   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  3  3
35.2N  89.5W       1 36  4  X 41   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  2  2
39.7N  84.8W       X  X 20  4 24   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  3  3
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  2  2   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  2  2
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  4  4   PENSACOLA FL       X  2  X  X  2
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  7  7   MOBILE AL          3  8  X  X 11
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  8  8   GULFPORT MS       14  8  X  X 22
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  7  7   BURAS LA          27  1  X  X 28
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  7  7   NEW ORLEANS LA    47  X  X  X 47
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  5  5   NEW IBERIA LA     68  X  X  X 68
HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  6  6   PORT ARTHUR TX    16  X  X  X 16
BOSTON MA          X  X  X  7  7   GULF 28N 89W       6  1  X  X  7
PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  7  7   GULF 28N 91W      99  X  X  X 99
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 93W      27  X  X  X 27
EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  4  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM THU TO  7AM FRI
C FROM  7AM FRI TO  7PM FRI
D FROM  7PM FRI TO  7PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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