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HURRICANE LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  43
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT WED OCT 02 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT SAT OCT  5 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
27.0N  91.5W      40  X  X  X 40   PORT ARTHUR TX     X 22  2  1 25
29.2N  92.5W       2 27  X  1 30   GALVESTON TX       X 19  2  X 21
31.5N  92.0W       X 11 11  1 23   FREEPORT TX        X 15  2  X 17
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  7  2  1 10
ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  3  3   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  1  1  X  2
APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  3  3   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  2  2
PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  1  4  5   GULF 29N 87W       X  1  3  3  7
PENSACOLA FL       X  1  4  6 11   GULF 28N 89W      13  5  X  1 19
MOBILE AL          X  2  8  4 14   GULF 28N 91W      26  6  X  X 32
GULFPORT MS        X  7  7  2 16   GULF 28N 93W      16 15  X  X 31
BURAS LA           2 13  3  X 18   GULF 28N 95W       2 15  X  1 18
NEW ORLEANS LA     X 17  3  1 21   GULF 27N 96W       1  4  1  1  7
NEW IBERIA LA      X 24  2  X 26
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM THU TO  1PM THU
C FROM  1PM THU TO  1AM FRI
D FROM  1AM FRI TO  1AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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