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HURRICANE LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  42
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT TUE OCT 01 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT FRI OCT  4 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.1N  90.7W      41  X  X  1 42   PORT ARTHUR TX     X 10 12  1 23
28.0N  92.2W       5 23  1  X 29   GALVESTON TX       X 12  9  X 21
30.5N  92.7W       X  7 14  1 22   FREEPORT TX        X 10  8  X 18
MUAN 219N 850W     4  X  X  X  4   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  6  6  1 13
ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  2  2   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  2  3  1  6
APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  3  3   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  2  2
PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  1  3  4   GULF 29N 87W       X  1  3  3  7
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  3  6  9   GULF 28N 89W       8  9  1  X 18
MOBILE AL          X  1  6  5 12   GULF 28N 91W       9 18  1  X 28
GULFPORT MS        X  2  9  3 14   GULF 28N 93W       2 25  X  1 28
BURAS LA           X 10  6  1 17   GULF 28N 95W       X 15  3  1 19
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  8 10  1 19   GULF 27N 96W       X  7  2  1 10
NEW IBERIA LA      X 12 10  1 23
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM WED TO  7AM THU
C FROM  7AM THU TO  7PM THU
D FROM  7PM THU TO  7PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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