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HURRICANE LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  36
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 30 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT THU OCT  3 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.7N  83.5W      45  X  X  X 45   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  6  6
23.0N  86.1W       2 28  X  X 30   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  7  7
24.5N  88.5W       X  7 13  1 21   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  8  8
MWCG 193N 814W    39  X  X  X 39   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  8  8
MUCF 221N 805W    44  X  X  1 45   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X 10 10
MUSN 216N 826W    56  X  X  X 56   BURAS LA           X  X  1 12 13
MUHA 230N 824W    38  1  X  X 39   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X 12 12
MUAN 219N 850W    24  9  X  X 33   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X 13 13
MMCZ 205N 869W     1  5  X  1  7   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X 12 12
MMMD 210N 897W     X  1  1  1  3   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X 12 12
MARATHON FL        4  5  1  X 10   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X 11 11
MIAMI FL           X  1  1  1  3   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  9  9
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1  1  2   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  7  7
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  4  4
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  1  7  8
KEY WEST FL        9  8  1  X 18   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  2 10 12
MARCO ISLAND FL    X  4  2  1  7   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  5 11 16
FT MYERS FL        X  2  2  2  6   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  2 14 16
VENICE FL          X  1  3  3  7   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  1 13 14
TAMPA FL           X  X  2  3  5   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X 11 11
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  1  3  4   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  9  9
ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  4  4   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X  5  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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