[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  34
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN SEP 29 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT WED OCT  2 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.2N  81.6W      51  X  1  X 52   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  6  6
22.4N  84.0W       7 32  X  X 39   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  7  7
23.9N  86.3W       X 16 15  X 31   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X 10 10
MKJS 185N 779W    99  X  X  X 99   MOBILE AL          X  X  X 11 11
MWCG 193N 814W    31  X  X  X 31   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X 13 13
MUCM 214N 779W    16  X  X  X 16   BURAS LA           X  X  X 16 16
MUCF 221N 805W    43  1  X  X 44   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X 14 14
MUSN 216N 826W    40  5  X  X 45   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X 13 13
MUHA 230N 824W    20 18  X  X 38   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  8  8
MUAN 219N 850W     1 30  1  X 32   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  7  7
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  4  5  1 10   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  5  5
MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  2  5  7   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  3  3
MARATHON FL        1  7  2  X 10   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  1  7  8
KEY WEST FL        1 15  1  X 17   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  2 12 14
MARCO ISLAND FL    X  2  2  1  5   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  3 16 19
FT MYERS FL        X  1  1  2  4   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  1 16 17
VENICE FL          X  X  3  2  5   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X 13 13
TAMPA FL           X  X  1  2  3   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  7  7
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  2  2   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  3  3
ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  3  3   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
NNNN


Webmaster