[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  32
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN SEP 29 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT WED OCT  2 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
20.2N  80.0W      50  X  X  X 50   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  1  6  4 11
21.2N  81.8W      19 16  X  1 36   FT MYERS FL        X  X  4  5  9
22.4N  83.8W       X 19  9  1 29   VENICE FL          X  X  3  6  9
MKJP 179N 768W    99  X  X  X 99   TAMPA FL           X  X  1  5  6
MKJS 185N 779W    99  X  X  X 99   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  4  4
MWCG 193N 814W    26  2  X  X 28   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W    25  X  X  X 25   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  6  6
MUCF 221N 805W    24  8  X  X 32   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  6  6
MUSN 216N 826W     4 27  1  X 32   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  5  5
MUHA 230N 824W     1 23  4  X 28   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  5  5
MUAN 219N 850W     X  8 14  2 24   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  5  5
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  7  6 13   BURAS LA           X  X  X  7  7
MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  7  7   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  5  5
MARATHON FL        X  7  7  1 15   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  3  3
MIAMI FL           X  1  3  2  6   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  8  8
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1  2  3   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X 10 10
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X 12 12
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  8  8
KEY WEST FL        X  9  8  2 19   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  4  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN


Webmaster