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TROPICAL STORM LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 28 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT TUE OCT  1 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
20.2N  77.7W      53  X  X  X 53   MIAMI FL           X  1  7  6 14
21.0N  79.0W      31  6  X  X 37   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  3  7 10
21.5N  80.5W       4 21  3  X 28   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  1  6  7
MKJP 179N 768W    40  X  X  X 40   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  5  5
MKJS 185N 779W    29  X  X  X 29   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  4  4
MWCG 193N 814W     1  7  5  3 16   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  2  2
MUGM 200N 751W    54  X  X  X 54   KEY WEST FL        X  2 13  5 20
MUCM 214N 779W    36  1  1  X 38   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  6  9 15
MUCF 221N 805W     2 22  3  1 28   FT MYERS FL        X  X  3 10 13
MUSN 216N 826W     X  5 12  4 21   VENICE FL          X  X  1 10 11
MUHA 230N 824W     X  4 14  4 22   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  8  8
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  3 12 15   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  5  5
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  7  7   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  3  3
MYEG 235N 758W     1  2  2  1  6   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  4  4
MYAK 241N 776W     X  8  4  1 13   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  3  3
MYNN 251N 775W     X  2  3  3  8   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  5  5
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  2  5  7   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  3  3
MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  2  2
MARATHON FL        X  3 12  4 19
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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