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TROPICAL STORM LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 28 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT TUE OCT  1 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
19.9N  77.3W      57  X  X  X 57   MARATHON FL        X  1 10  6 17
20.7N  78.3W      37  3  X  X 40   MIAMI FL           X  X  6  7 13
21.3N  79.7W       7 17  1  1 26   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  2  8 10
MTCA 183N 738W    10  X  X  1 11   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  1  7  8
MKJP 179N 768W    45  X  X  X 45   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  6  6
MKJS 185N 779W    37  X  X  X 37   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  4  4
MWCG 193N 814W     X  4  6  5 15   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  2  2
MUGM 200N 751W    36  X  X  X 36   KEY WEST FL        X  1  9  8 18
MUCM 214N 779W    28  5  1  X 34   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  4 10 14
MUCF 221N 805W     X 15  7  2 24   FT MYERS FL        X  X  2 10 12
MUSN 216N 826W     X  1 10  7 18   VENICE FL          X  X  1  9 10
MUHA 230N 824W     X  1 11  7 19   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  8  8
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  1 11 12   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  5  5
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  5  5   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  3  3
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  1  1  2   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  3  3
MYEG 235N 758W     X  3  3  2  8   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  2  2
MYAK 241N 776W     X  6  5  3 14   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  5  5
MYNN 251N 775W     X  1  5  4 10   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  3  3
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  2  6  8   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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