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TROPICAL STORM LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 28 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT TUE OCT 1 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.9N 77.3W 57 X X X 57 MARATHON FL X 1 10 6 17
20.7N 78.3W 37 3 X X 40 MIAMI FL X X 6 7 13
21.3N 79.7W 7 17 1 1 26 W PALM BEACH FL X X 2 8 10
MTCA 183N 738W 10 X X 1 11 FT PIERCE FL X X 1 7 8
MKJP 179N 768W 45 X X X 45 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 6 6
MKJS 185N 779W 37 X X X 37 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 4 4
MWCG 193N 814W X 4 6 5 15 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 2 2
MUGM 200N 751W 36 X X X 36 KEY WEST FL X 1 9 8 18
MUCM 214N 779W 28 5 1 X 34 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 4 10 14
MUCF 221N 805W X 15 7 2 24 FT MYERS FL X X 2 10 12
MUSN 216N 826W X 1 10 7 18 VENICE FL X X 1 9 10
MUHA 230N 824W X 1 11 7 19 TAMPA FL X X X 8 8
MUAN 219N 850W X X 1 11 12 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 5 5
MMCZ 205N 869W X X X 5 5 ST MARKS FL X X X 3 3
MYSM 241N 745W X X 1 1 2 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 3 3
MYEG 235N 758W X 3 3 2 8 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2
MYAK 241N 776W X 6 5 3 14 GULF 29N 85W X X X 5 5
MYNN 251N 775W X 1 5 4 10 GULF 29N 87W X X X 3 3
MYGF 266N 787W X X 2 6 8 GULF 28N 89W X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
C FROM 8PM SUN TO 8AM MON
D FROM 8AM MON TO 8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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