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TROPICAL STORM LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 28 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT TUE OCT  1 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
19.5N  77.0W      59  X  X  X 59   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  2  5  7
20.5N  78.0W      31  5  X  X 36   MARATHON FL        X  X  8  8 16
21.0N  79.1W       9 17  1  1 28   MIAMI FL           X  X  5  7 12
MTCA 183N 738W     8  X  X  1  9   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  2  7  9
MKJP 179N 768W    52  X  X  X 52   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  1  6  7
MKJS 185N 779W    33  X  X  1 34   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  5  5
MWCG 193N 814W     X  3  6  6 15   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  3  3
MUGM 200N 751W    30  X  X  X 30   KEY WEST FL        X  X  7  9 16
MUCM 214N 779W    16 14  1  X 31   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  2 10 12
MUCF 221N 805W     X 11  7  4 22   FT MYERS FL        X  X  1  9 10
MUSN 216N 826W     X  1  7  9 17   VENICE FL          X  X  X  9  9
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  8  9 17   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  6  6
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X 11 11   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  4  4
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  5  5   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  2  2
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  1  2  3   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  2  2
MYEG 235N 758W     X  3  4  3 10   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  3  3
MYAK 241N 776W     X  5  6  4 15   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  2  2
MYNN 251N 775W     X  1  5  4 10
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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