ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 28 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT TUE OCT 1 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.5N 77.0W 59 X X X 59 MYGF 266N 787W X X 2 5 7
20.5N 78.0W 31 5 X X 36 MARATHON FL X X 8 8 16
21.0N 79.1W 9 17 1 1 28 MIAMI FL X X 5 7 12
MTCA 183N 738W 8 X X 1 9 W PALM BEACH FL X X 2 7 9
MKJP 179N 768W 52 X X X 52 FT PIERCE FL X X 1 6 7
MKJS 185N 779W 33 X X 1 34 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 5 5
MWCG 193N 814W X 3 6 6 15 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 3 3
MUGM 200N 751W 30 X X X 30 KEY WEST FL X X 7 9 16
MUCM 214N 779W 16 14 1 X 31 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 2 10 12
MUCF 221N 805W X 11 7 4 22 FT MYERS FL X X 1 9 10
MUSN 216N 826W X 1 7 9 17 VENICE FL X X X 9 9
MUHA 230N 824W X X 8 9 17 TAMPA FL X X X 6 6
MUAN 219N 850W X X X 11 11 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 4 4
MMCZ 205N 869W X X X 5 5 ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2
MYSM 241N 745W X X 1 2 3 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 2 2
MYEG 235N 758W X 3 4 3 10 GULF 29N 85W X X X 3 3
MYAK 241N 776W X 5 6 4 15 GULF 29N 87W X X X 2 2
MYNN 251N 775W X 1 5 4 10
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
C FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
D FROM 2AM MON TO 2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
Webmaster