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TROPICAL DEPRESSION LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 26 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  73.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST SUN SEP 29 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
17.0N  75.3W      55  X  X  X 55   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  3  3
18.0N  76.3W      31  6  X  X 37   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  3  5  8
18.9N  77.5W       3 25  2  1 31   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  2  9 11
MTPP 186N 724W     4  1  X  1  6   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  8  8
MTCA 183N 738W    25  X  X  X 25   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  5  5
MKJP 179N 768W    24 10  1  X 35   MARATHON FL        X  X  X 12 12
MKJS 185N 779W     3 23  2  1 29   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  9  9
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  7 10 17   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  6  6
MUGM 200N 751W     4 14  2  1 21   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  4  4
MUCM 214N 779W     X  4 14  4 22   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  3  3
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  6 13 19   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X 12 12
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  1 14 15   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  9  9
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X 14 14   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  7  7
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  7  7   VENICE FL          X  X  X  5  5
MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  1  1  2   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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