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TROPICAL STORM LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST WED SEP 25 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST SAT SEP 28 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
15.3N  72.6W      44  X  X  X 44   MDPP 198N 707W     X  1  2  1  4
16.0N  74.0W      25  6  X  X 31   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  1  2  3
17.1N  75.5W       1 20  4  1 26   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  1  5  6
SKPG 125N 717W     X  1  X  1  2   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  5  5
MDSD 185N 697W     1  1  1  1  4   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  1  8  9
MDCB 176N 714W    13  4  1  X 18   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X 10 10
MTPP 186N 724W     2 11  3  1 17   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  7  7
MTCA 183N 738W     1 18  3  2 24   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  4  4
MKJP 179N 768W     X  7 13  3 23   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  8  8
MKJS 185N 779W     X  1 13  7 21   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  6  6
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X 11 11   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  4  4
MUGM 200N 751W     X  3 13  4 20   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  4 14 18   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  7  7
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X 13 13   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  4  4
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  8  8   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  3  3
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  8  8   VENICE FL          X  X  X  2  2
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
C FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
D FROM  8PM FRI TO  8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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