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TROPICAL STORM LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED SEP 25 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST SAT SEP 28 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
15.8N 72.5W 46 X X X 46 MBJT 215N 712W X 1 3 4 8
17.1N 73.8W 17 15 1 X 33 MYMM 224N 730W X X 6 7 13
18.5N 74.9W X 22 5 1 28 MYSM 241N 745W X X 2 11 13
SKPG 125N 717W 2 X X X 2 MYEG 235N 758W X X 3 13 16
MDSD 185N 697W 2 2 1 X 5 MYAK 241N 776W X X 1 14 15
MDCB 176N 714W 23 2 X X 25 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 12 12
MTPP 186N 724W 7 15 1 1 24 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 7 7
MTCA 183N 738W 3 25 1 X 29 MARATHON FL X X X 7 7
MKJP 179N 768W X 8 10 2 20 MIAMI FL X X X 7 7
MKJS 185N 779W X 1 11 5 17 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 5 5
MWCG 193N 814W X X X 5 5 FT PIERCE FL X X X 4 4
MUGM 200N 751W X 9 13 3 25 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 2 2
MUCM 214N 779W X X 7 11 18 KEY WEST FL X X X 5 5
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 10 10 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 4 4
MUSN 216N 826W X X X 3 3 FT MYERS FL X X X 3 3
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 4 4 VENICE FL X X X 2 2
MDPP 198N 707W 1 4 2 2 9
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
C FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
D FROM 8AM FRI TO 8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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