[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM RRA
TROPICAL STORM LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE SEP 24 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  67.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST FRI SEP 27 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
15.7N  71.4W      47  X  X  X 47   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X 10  8 18
17.2N  73.0W      11 23  1  X 35   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  2 13 15
18.7N  73.7W       X 25  3  1 29   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  2 15 17
MDSD 185N 697W     3  7  1  1 12   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X 13 13
MDCB 176N 714W    19 12  X  X 31   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X 11 11
MTPP 186N 724W     1 26  1  X 28   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  6  6
MTCA 183N 738W     X 27  2  1 30   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  3  3
MKJP 179N 768W     X  2  9  4 15   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  4  4
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  5  6 11   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  4  4
MUGM 200N 751W     X  5 15  3 23   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  2 12 14   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  5  5   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2
MDPP 198N 707W     X  8  4  3 15   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W     X  1  8  5 14
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN/MOLLEDA
 
 
NNNN


Webmaster