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TROPICAL STORM LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST TUE SEP 24 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST FRI SEP 27 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
15.0N  69.7W      46  X  X  X 46   MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  5  5
16.3N  71.2W      18 15  X  X 33   MDPP 198N 707W     X  6 12  1 19
18.0N  72.8W       X 17 12  X 29   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  9  6 15
SKPG 125N 717W     2  1  X  1  4   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  5 11 16
TNCC 122N 690W     2  X  X  X  2   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X 12 12
TJPS 180N 666W     1  X  X  1  2   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X 14 14
MDSD 185N 697W     1 16  2  1 20   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X 11 11
MDCB 176N 714W     2 26  2  X 30   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  8  8
MTPP 186N 724W     X 15 13  1 29   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  4  4
MTCA 183N 738W     X  6 18  2 26   PONCE PR           1  X  X  1  2
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  5  8 13   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  3  3
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  1 10 11   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  3  3
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  2  2   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  2  2
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X 13  8 21   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X 13 13
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
C FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
D FROM  8AM THU TO  8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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