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TROPICAL STORM LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON SEP 23 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST THU SEP 26 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
15.0N  67.1W      48  X  X  X 48   MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X  8  8
16.1N  69.0W       7 25  X  X 32   MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X  5  5
17.0N  70.5W       X 19  5  2 26   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  1 13 14
SKPG 125N 717W     X  1  3  2  6   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  5  5
TNCC 122N 690W     4  5  X  X  9   TJSJ 184N 661W    10  7  X  1 18
TGPY 120N 618W    99  X  X  X 99   MDPP 198N 707W     X  3 12  5 20
TVSV 131N 612W    99  X  X  X 99   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  6 10 16
TLPL 138N 610W    34  X  X  X 34   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  1 12 13
TFFF 146N 610W     3  X  X  X  3   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  7  7
SVBS 157N 636W    44  X  X  X 44   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  7  7
TISX 177N 648W    13  2  X  X 15   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  3  3
TIST 183N 650W     8  2  1  X 11   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2
TJPS 180N 666W    15  8  X  X 23   ST CROIX VI       13  2  X  X 15
MDSD 185N 697W     X 17  6  1 24   ST THOMAS VI       8  2  1  X 11
MDCB 176N 714W     X  8 12  3 23   SAN JUAN PR       10  7  X  1 18
MTPP 186N 724W     X  1 13  7 21   PONCE PR          15  8  X  X 23
MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  7 10 17
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN/KNABB
 
 
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