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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON SEP 23 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST THU SEP 26 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
14.0N 64.6W 49 X X 1 50 TIST 183N 650W X 7 2 1 10
14.8N 67.2W 3 29 X X 32 TJPS 180N 666W X 11 5 1 17
15.6N 69.3W X 13 11 1 25 MDSD 185N 697W X 1 11 7 19
SKPG 125N 717W X X 4 3 7 MDCB 176N 714W X X 11 9 20
TNCC 122N 690W X 5 3 1 9 MTPP 186N 724W X X 3 15 18
SVMG 110N 640W 2 X X X 2 MTCA 183N 738W X X 1 15 16
TTPT 112N 608W 2 X X X 2 MKJP 179N 768W X X X 9 9
TGPY 120N 618W 24 X X X 24 MKJS 185N 779W X X X 6 6
TBPB 131N 595W 96 X X X 96 MUGM 200N 751W X X X 11 11
TVSV 131N 612W 82 X X X 82 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 3 3
TLPL 138N 610W 87 X X X 87 TJSJ 184N 661W X 8 4 1 13
TFFF 146N 610W 69 X X X 69 MDPP 198N 707W X X 3 11 14
TDPR 153N 614W 39 X X X 39 MBJT 215N 712W X X X 7 7
SVBS 157N 636W 39 1 X X 40 MYMM 224N 730W X X X 4 4
TFFR 163N 615W 7 X X X 7 ST CROIX VI 2 11 1 X 14
TAPA 171N 618W 2 X X X 2 ST THOMAS VI X 7 2 1 10
TKPK 173N 627W 3 2 X X 5 SAN JUAN PR X 8 4 1 13
TNCM 181N 631W 1 1 1 X 3 PONCE PR X 11 5 1 17
TISX 177N 648W 2 11 1 X 14
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
C FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED
D FROM 2AM WED TO 2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER JARVINEN/BROWN
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