ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN SEP 22 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST WED SEP 25 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
13.4N 62.4W 50 1 X X 51 TISX 177N 648W X 8 5 2 15
14.1N 65.4W 2 32 X X 34 TIST 183N 650W X 3 7 2 12
15.0N 67.7W X 13 13 1 27 TJPS 180N 666W X 3 11 3 17
SKPG 125N 717W X X 1 6 7 MDSD 185N 697W X X 6 11 17
TNCC 122N 690W X 1 7 3 11 MDCB 176N 714W X X 3 15 18
SVMG 110N 640W 2 6 X X 8 MTPP 186N 724W X X X 14 14
TTPP 106N 614W 3 X X X 3 MTCA 183N 738W X X X 11 11
TTPT 112N 608W 13 X X X 13 MKJP 179N 768W X X X 4 4
TGPY 120N 618W 34 X X X 34 MKJS 185N 779W X X X 2 2
TBPB 131N 595W 78 X X X 78 MUGM 200N 751W X X X 5 5
TVSV 131N 612W 61 X X X 61 TJSJ 184N 661W X 2 9 3 14
TLPL 138N 610W 62 X X X 62 MDPP 198N 707W X X 1 11 12
TFFF 146N 610W 50 X X X 50 MBJT 215N 712W X X X 5 5
TDPR 153N 614W 33 2 X X 35 MYMM 224N 730W X X X 2 2
SVBS 157N 636W 11 21 X X 32 ST CROIX VI X 8 5 2 15
TFFR 163N 615W 10 5 X X 15 ST THOMAS VI X 3 7 2 12
TAPA 171N 618W 2 4 1 X 7 SAN JUAN PR X 2 9 3 14
TKPK 173N 627W 1 7 1 X 9 PONCE PR X 3 11 3 17
TNCM 181N 631W X 3 2 1 6
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
C FROM 8AM TUE TO 8PM TUE
D FROM 8PM TUE TO 8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER JARVINEN/KNABB
NNNN
Webmaster
![[NCEP Logo]](/graphics/ncep.gif){kind=small}