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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT WED SEP 25 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
13.5N 58.0W 51 1 X X 52 TNCM 181N 631W X 1 18 2 21
14.5N 61.0W 1 33 X X 34 TISX 177N 648W X X 16 6 22
16.0N 63.5W X 6 20 X 26 TIST 183N 650W X X 12 9 21
SVMG 110N 640W X X 1 1 2 TJPS 180N 666W X X 5 15 20
TTPP 106N 614W X 1 1 X 2 MDSD 185N 697W X X X 13 13
TTPT 112N 608W X 5 1 X 6 MDCB 176N 714W X X X 8 8
TGPY 120N 618W X 10 1 1 12 MTPP 186N 724W X X X 5 5
TBPB 131N 595W 20 16 X X 36 MTCA 183N 738W X X X 2 2
TVSV 131N 612W 1 23 1 X 25 TJSJ 184N 661W X X 6 14 20
TLPL 138N 610W 1 30 X X 31 MDPP 198N 707W X X X 9 9
TFFF 146N 610W 1 33 X X 34 MBJT 215N 712W X X X 4 4
TDPR 153N 614W X 30 2 X 32 ST CROIX VI X X 16 6 22
SVBS 157N 636W X 6 19 1 26 ST THOMAS VI X X 12 9 21
TFFR 163N 615W X 22 7 X 29 SAN JUAN PR X X 6 14 20
TAPA 171N 618W X 11 14 1 26 PONCE PR X X 5 15 20
TKPK 173N 627W X 4 20 1 25
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM MON TO 8PM MON
C FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
D FROM 8AM TUE TO 8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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