[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  52.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT WED SEP 25 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
13.5N  58.0W      51  1  X  X 52   TNCM 181N 631W     X  1 18  2 21
14.5N  61.0W       1 33  X  X 34   TISX 177N 648W     X  X 16  6 22
16.0N  63.5W       X  6 20  X 26   TIST 183N 650W     X  X 12  9 21
SVMG 110N 640W     X  X  1  1  2   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  5 15 20
TTPP 106N 614W     X  1  1  X  2   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X 13 13
TTPT 112N 608W     X  5  1  X  6   MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  X  8  8
TGPY 120N 618W     X 10  1  1 12   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X  5  5
TBPB 131N 595W    20 16  X  X 36   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X  2  2
TVSV 131N 612W     1 23  1  X 25   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  6 14 20
TLPL 138N 610W     1 30  X  X 31   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  9  9
TFFF 146N 610W     1 33  X  X 34   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  4  4
TDPR 153N 614W     X 30  2  X 32   ST CROIX VI        X  X 16  6 22
SVBS 157N 636W     X  6 19  1 26   ST THOMAS VI       X  X 12  9 21
TFFR 163N 615W     X 22  7  X 29   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  6 14 20
TAPA 171N 618W     X 11 14  1 26   PONCE PR           X  X  5 15 20
TKPK 173N 627W     X  4 20  1 25
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN


Webmaster