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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  48.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED SEP 25 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
12.4N  54.1W      49  1  X  X 50   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X 14  9 23
13.6N  57.2W       X 35  X  X 35   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  8 14 22
15.0N  60.0W       X  4 23  1 28   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  4 17 21
SVMG 110N 640W     X  X  X  3  3   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  1 17 18
TTPP 106N 614W     X  X  2  3  5   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X 18 18
TTPT 112N 608W     X  1  5  3  9   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X 14 14
TGPY 120N 618W     X  X  6  5 11   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X  4  4
TBPB 131N 595W     X 10 13  1 24   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X 15 15
TVSV 131N 612W     X  1 13  4 18   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  2  2
TLPL 138N 610W     X  1 18  2 21   ST CROIX VI        X  X  1 17 18
TFFF 146N 610W     X  1 20  3 24   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X 18 18
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X 20  4 24   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X 15 15
SVBS 157N 636W     X  X  4 15 19   PONCE PR           X  X  X 14 14
TFFR 163N 615W     X  X 18  6 24
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN/BROWN
 
 
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