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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  45.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
11.0N  51.0W      48  X  X  X 48   TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  4 13 17
11.5N  53.5W      13 20  X  X 33   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  3 13 16
12.5N  56.5W       X 14 13  X 27   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  1 13 14
SVMG 110N 640W     X  X  X  6  6   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  1 12 13
TTPP 106N 614W     X  X  1 10 11   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  X 11 11
TTPT 112N 608W     X  X  3 11 14   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X 10 10
TGPY 120N 618W     X  X  2 11 13   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X  7  7
TBPB 131N 595W     X  X 14  6 20   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X  2  2
TVSV 131N 612W     X  X  5 12 17   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  8  8
TLPL 138N 610W     X  X  7 11 18   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X 11 11
TFFF 146N 610W     X  X  7 11 18   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X 10 10
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  5 13 18   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  8  8
SVBS 157N 636W     X  X  1 12 13   PONCE PR           X  X  X  7  7
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA/BLAKE
 
 
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