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TROPICAL STORM KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 84
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT MON OCT 14 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
36.0N 76.0W 26 4 X X 30 NANTUCKET MA X 3 11 X 14
38.0N 72.0W 1 18 3 X 22 HYANNIS MA X 3 9 1 13
39.5N 67.0W X 1 12 2 15 BOSTON MA X 2 8 X 10
BERMUDA X X 1 3 4 PORTLAND ME X X 6 2 8
JACKSONVILLE FL 5 X X X 5 BAR HARBOR ME X X 4 4 8
SAVANNAH GA 99 X X X 99 EASTPORT ME X X 3 5 8
CHARLESTON SC 99 X X X 99 ST JOHN NB X X 2 6 8
MYRTLE BEACH SC 64 X X X 64 MONCTON NB X X 1 6 7
WILMINGTON NC 48 X X X 48 YARMOUTH NS X X 4 6 10
MOREHEAD CITY NC 34 1 X X 35 HALIFAX NS X X 1 8 9
CAPE HATTERAS NC 26 3 1 X 30 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 8 8
NORFOLK VA 21 6 X X 27 SYDNEY NS X X X 6 6
OCEAN CITY MD 7 14 X 1 22 EDDY POINT NS X X X 7 7
ATLANTIC CITY NJ 2 13 2 X 17 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 5 5
NEW YORK CITY NY X 10 3 X 13 BURGEO NFLD X X X 4 4
MONTAUK POINT NY X 6 8 X 14 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 4 4
PROVIDENCE RI X 4 8 X 12 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT
C FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN
D FROM 8AM SUN TO 8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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