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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 77
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED OCT 09 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT SAT OCT 12 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.0N 78.6W 41 X X X 41 NORFOLK VA X X X 3 3
28.3N 80.4W 17 9 X 1 27 KEY WEST FL X 1 2 1 4
29.5N 81.5W 2 16 3 1 22 MARCO ISLAND FL 1 7 2 1 11
MYNN 251N 775W 1 1 X X 2 FT MYERS FL 1 10 2 1 14
MYGF 266N 787W 20 X X 1 21 VENICE FL X 10 3 2 15
MARATHON FL X 2 2 X 4 TAMPA FL X 12 4 2 18
MIAMI FL 3 7 1 X 11 CEDAR KEY FL X 8 7 3 18
W PALM BEACH FL 11 7 X 1 19 ST MARKS FL X 1 8 6 15
FT PIERCE FL 15 8 X 1 24 APALACHICOLA FL X X 6 7 13
COCOA BEACH FL 14 10 1 1 26 PANAMA CITY FL X X 3 8 11
DAYTONA BEACH FL 6 15 2 1 24 PENSACOLA FL X X X 7 7
JACKSONVILLE FL 1 12 6 2 21 MOBILE AL X X X 5 5
SAVANNAH GA X 5 9 5 19 GULFPORT MS X X X 3 3
CHARLESTON SC X 4 8 5 17 BURAS LA X X X 2 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 1 6 6 13 GULF 29N 85W X X 6 6 12
WILMINGTON NC X X 3 7 10 GULF 29N 87W X X 1 6 7
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 1 6 7 GULF 28N 89W X X X 2 2
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
C FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
D FROM 2PM FRI TO 2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
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