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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 75
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED OCT 09 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.4N 77.1W 42 X X X 42 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 3 3
27.4N 79.1W 11 15 X 1 27 KEY WEST FL X 1 5 3 9
27.8N 81.1W X 12 7 2 21 MARCO ISLAND FL X 4 9 3 16
MUHA 230N 824W X X 1 3 4 FT MYERS FL X 4 10 3 17
MYAK 241N 776W X 3 1 1 5 VENICE FL X 2 11 4 17
MYNN 251N 775W 3 7 1 X 11 TAMPA FL X 3 11 4 18
MYGF 266N 787W 10 13 X 1 24 CEDAR KEY FL X 1 10 6 17
MARATHON FL X 2 6 3 11 ST MARKS FL X X 4 10 14
MIAMI FL X 10 4 2 16 APALACHICOLA FL X X 2 11 13
W PALM BEACH FL 1 16 2 1 20 PANAMA CITY FL X X 1 10 11
FT PIERCE FL 1 17 3 1 22 PENSACOLA FL X X X 7 7
COCOA BEACH FL 1 15 5 2 23 MOBILE AL X X X 5 5
DAYTONA BEACH FL X 10 8 3 21 GULFPORT MS X X X 4 4
JACKSONVILLE FL X 3 9 6 18 BURAS LA X X X 4 4
SAVANNAH GA X 1 6 8 15 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 2 2
CHARLESTON SC X 1 5 7 13 GULF 29N 85W X X 3 10 13
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 3 7 10 GULF 29N 87W X X X 9 9
WILMINGTON NC X X 1 6 7 GULF 28N 89W X X X 5 5
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 1 4 5 GULF 28N 91W X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU
C FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
D FROM 2AM FRI TO 2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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