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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  59
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT OCT 05 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  72.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST TUE OCT  8 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
34.6N  71.5W      31  1  X  X 32   OCEAN CITY MD      2  5  2  4 13
35.0N  70.0W      10  5  3  2 20   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   1  2  3  4 10
35.0N  70.0W      10  5  3  2 20   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  1  2  5  8
BERMUDA            X  1  2  4  7   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  2  4  6
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  2  2   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  1  4  5
WILMINGTON NC      X  1  1  2  4   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  1  3  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC   2  2  2  3  9   HYANNIS MA         X  X  1  3  4
CAPE HATTERAS NC   8  2  2  2 14   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  3  3
NORFOLK VA         3  4  2  3 12
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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