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TROPICAL STORM KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  57
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI OCT 04 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST MON OCT  7 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
32.5N  71.5W      42  X  1  X 43   NORFOLK VA         X  1  4  6 11
33.5N  72.0W      24  1  1  X 26   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  2  7  9
34.5N  72.0W       8  7  3  2 20   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1  6  7
BERMUDA            X  X  2  4  6   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  5  5
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  3  3
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  2  3  5   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  2  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  1  3  4  8   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC      X  2  5  4 11   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  4  6  3 13   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  2  2
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  5  6  4 15
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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