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TROPICAL STORM KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 57
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI OCT 04 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST MON OCT 7 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
32.5N 71.5W 42 X 1 X 43 NORFOLK VA X 1 4 6 11
33.5N 72.0W 24 1 1 X 26 OCEAN CITY MD X X 2 7 9
34.5N 72.0W 8 7 3 2 20 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 1 6 7
BERMUDA X X 2 4 6 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 5 5
SAVANNAH GA X X X 2 2 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 3 3
CHARLESTON SC X X 2 3 5 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 2 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 1 3 4 8 NANTUCKET MA X X X 2 2
WILMINGTON NC X 2 5 4 11 HYANNIS MA X X X 2 2
MOREHEAD CITY NC X 4 6 3 13 BOSTON MA X X X 2 2
CAPE HATTERAS NC X 5 6 4 15
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
C FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
D FROM 2PM SUN TO 2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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