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TROPICAL STORM KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  56
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI OCT 04 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST MON OCT  7 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
31.5N  71.5W      51  X  X  X 51   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  2  7  9
32.5N  71.5W      34  X  X  X 34   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  4  7 11
33.5N  71.5W      16  4  1  2 23   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  4  7 11
BERMUDA            X  X  1  5  6   NORFOLK VA         X  X  1  7  8
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  2  2   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  6  6
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  3  3   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  4  4
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  1  5  6   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  2  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  1  7  8   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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