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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 17 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  52.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
37.0N  50.5W      20  2  X  X 22   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  1  1  1  3
39.0N  47.5W       2 12  2  X 16   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  4  3  7
42.0N  43.0W       X  1  9  2 12
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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