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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 37
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT WED SEP 25 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT SAT SEP 28 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.5N 90.5W 47 X X X 47 ST JOHN NB X X X 2 2
31.0N 90.5W 8 16 1 X 25 YARMOUTH NS X X X 2 2
34.5N 88.5W X 1 14 5 20 ST MARKS FL X X 3 2 5
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 1 1 2 APALACHICOLA FL X 1 3 2 6
SAVANNAH GA X X 1 3 4 PANAMA CITY FL X 2 5 1 8
CHARLESTON SC X X X 4 4 PENSACOLA FL 1 8 6 1 16
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 4 4 MOBILE AL 3 13 4 X 20
WILMINGTON NC X X X 4 4 GULFPORT MS 11 11 1 X 23
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 3 3 BURAS LA 31 2 X X 33
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 3 3 NEW ORLEANS LA 25 6 X X 31
NORFOLK VA X X X 5 5 NEW IBERIA LA 18 11 X X 29
OCEAN CITY MD X X X 6 6 PORT ARTHUR TX 1 17 1 X 19
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 6 6 GALVESTON TX X 12 1 X 13
NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 6 6 FREEPORT TX X 7 2 X 9
MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 6 6 PORT O CONNOR TX X 2 1 X 3
PROVIDENCE RI X X X 6 6 GULF 29N 85W X 1 2 1 4
NANTUCKET MA X X X 5 5 GULF 29N 87W 1 7 4 X 12
HYANNIS MA X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 89W 40 X X X 40
BOSTON MA X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 91W 49 X X X 49
PORTLAND ME X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 93W 16 6 X X 22
BAR HARBOR ME X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 95W X 7 1 X 8
EASTPORT ME X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM THU TO 1PM THU
C FROM 1PM THU TO 1AM FRI
D FROM 1AM FRI TO 1AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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