[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SUN SEP 22 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT WED SEP 25 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.5N  90.1W      48  X  X  X 48   BURAS LA           X  X  X  2  2
21.2N  90.8W      36  X  X  X 36   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  2  2
21.2N  91.4W      27  1  1  1 30   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  2  2
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  1  2  3   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  2  2
MMCZ 205N 869W     4  X  1  4  9   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  2  2
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  1  3  4   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  5  5
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X  7  7   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  3  3
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  1  8  9   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  4  4
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  3  7 10   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  4  4
MMVR 192N 961W     X  1  4  6 11   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  4  4
MMFR 185N 926W     2  5  3  4 14   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  5  5
MMMD 210N 897W    42  X  X  1 43   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  1  8  9
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM MON TO  1PM MON
C FROM  1PM MON TO  1AM TUE
D FROM  1AM TUE TO  1AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
NNNN


Webmaster