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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SAT SEP 14 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST TUE SEP 17 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
12.5N  69.4W      50  1  X  X 51   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  8 11 19
14.3N  72.2W       1 33  1  X 35   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X 15 15
16.5N  74.5W       X  4 22  1 27   MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  9  9
SKPG 125N 717W     6 24  X  1 31   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  4  4
TNCC 122N 690W    54  X  X  X 54   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  3  3
SVMG 110N 640W    99  X  X  X 99   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  4  3  7
TTPP 106N 614W    18  X  X  X 18   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  1  3  4
TGPY 120N 618W    17  X  X  X 17   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  1  6  7
MDSD 185N 697W     X  2  3  1  6   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  3  3
MDCB 176N 714W     X 10 10  X 20   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  7  7
MTPP 186N 724W     X  2 15  2 19   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  5  5
MTCA 183N 738W     X  1 20  2 23   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X 11 10 21   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  4 14 18   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  8  8
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BLAKE/LAWRENCE
 
 
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