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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT THU SEP 12 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT SUN SEP 15 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.0N  86.7W      46  X  X  X 46   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  1  1  1  3
30.5N  86.5W      24  1  X  1 26   FT MYERS FL        X  1  3  1  5
32.5N  85.0W       4  6  4  3 17   VENICE FL          1  3  2  1  7
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  1  1  2   TAMPA FL           1  4  3  1  9
MIAMI FL           X  X  1  1  2   CEDAR KEY FL       3  5  3  2 13
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1  2  3   ST MARKS FL       10  3  3  1 17
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  2  3  5   APALACHICOLA FL   18  2  1  X 21
COCOA BEACH FL     X  1  2  3  6   PANAMA CITY FL    22  2  X  X 24
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  1  4  4  9   PENSACOLA FL      23  1  1  X 25
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  2  5  4 11   MOBILE AL         16  3  1  X 20
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  4  7 11   GULFPORT MS       11  4  1  X 16
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  1  9 10   BURAS LA           8  4  X  1 13
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  9  9   NEW ORLEANS LA     3  5  1  1 10
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  8  8   NEW IBERIA LA      X  2  1  X  3
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  6  6   GULF 29N 85W      22  1  X  X 23
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  4  4   GULF 29N 87W      44  X  X  X 44
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  4  4   GULF 28N 89W      11  2  X  1 14
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 91W       X  2  X  X  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM FRI TO  7PM FRI
C FROM  7PM FRI TO  7AM SAT
D FROM  7AM SAT TO  7AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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