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TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  73.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT FRI SEP 13 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
40.5N  66.5W      25  8  X  X 33   MONCTON NB         X  8  2  1 11
44.0N  60.0W       X 13  8  X 21   YARMOUTH NS        3 14  1  X 18
51.0N  53.0W       X  X  8  4 12   HALIFAX NS         X 18  3  X 21
CAPE HATTERAS NC  99  X  X  X 99   SABLE ISLAND NS    X 13  8  X 21
MONTAUK POINT NY   2  X  X  X  2   SYDNEY NS          X  8 11  X 19
PROVIDENCE RI      2  X  X  X  2   EDDY POINT NS      X 13  7  X 20
NANTUCKET MA      11  1  X  X 12   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  4 12  X 16
HYANNIS MA         6  1  X  X  7   BURGEO NFLD        X  3 12  1 16
BOSTON MA          1  1  X  X  2   ILE ST PIERRE      X  2 11  1 14
BAR HARBOR ME      1  3  X  X  4   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  7  2  9
EASTPORT ME        1  6  X  1  8   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  1  4  5
ST JOHN NB         X  8  2  X 10
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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