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SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 09 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE STORM CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  74.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT THU SEP 12 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
34.1N  75.6W      37  X  X  X 37   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  1  7  8
35.3N  74.7W      17  4  1  X 22   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  1  7  8
36.6N  72.0W       1  7  6  1 15   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  8  8
BERMUDA            X  X  X  3  3   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  7  7
SAVANNAH GA        X  1  1  X  2   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  6  6
CHARLESTON SC      3  4  X  1  8   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  5  5
MYRTLE BEACH SC   11  3  1  X 15   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  5  5
WILMINGTON NC     17  2  1  X 20   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  4  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC  22  1  1  X 24   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  3  3
CAPE HATTERAS NC  17  4  1  X 22   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  6  6
NORFOLK VA         1  9  4  1 15   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  5  5
OCEAN CITY MD      X  2  8  2 12   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  5  5
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  5  5 10   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  3  3
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  2  6  8   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  3  3
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  1  7  8   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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