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SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON SEP 09 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE STORM CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  73.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT THU SEP 12 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
33.8N  75.8W      45  X  X  X 45   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X 10 10
35.1N  75.4W      20  3  1  X 24   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X 12 12
36.5N  73.0W       X  8  8  2 18   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X 11 11
CHARLESTON SC      2  3  1  X  6   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  9  9
MYRTLE BEACH SC   12  4  X  X 16   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  6  6
WILMINGTON NC     23  1  X  1 25   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  5  5
MOREHEAD CITY NC  28  X  1  X 29   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  4  4
CAPE HATTERAS NC  17  5  1  X 23   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  3  3
NORFOLK VA         X 11  5  1 17   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  2  2
OCEAN CITY MD      X  2  9  4 15   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  7  7
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  5  8 13   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  4  4
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  1 10 11   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  3  3
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X 11 11   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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