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TROPICAL STORM FAY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SAT SEP 07 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  95.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT TUE SEP 10 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.6N  97.1W      51  X  X  X 51   FREEPORT TX       99  X  X  X 99
28.9N  98.0W      32  1  X  X 33   PORT O CONNOR TX  99  X  X  X 99
29.0N  99.0W      21  3  1  1 26   CORPUSCHRISTI TX  39  X  X  X 39
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X  4  4   BROWNSVILLE TX     7  2  2  2 13
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  1  2  3
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 93W       4  2  1  3 10
NEW IBERIA LA      X  1  1  2  4   GULF 28N 95W      99  X  X  X 99
PORT ARTHUR TX     6  3  2  2 13   GULF 27N 96W      45  X  X  X 45
GALVESTON TX      33  X  X  1 34   GULF 25N 96W       1  1  1  4  7
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM SUN TO  1PM SUN
C FROM  1PM SUN TO  1AM MON
D FROM  1AM MON TO  1AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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