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TROPICAL STORM FAY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT FRI SEP 06 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  95.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT MON SEP  9 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.5N  96.5W      57  X  X  X 57   PORT O CONNOR TX  61  X  X  X 61
29.0N  97.5W      37  X  X  1 38   CORPUSCHRISTI TX  31  1  X  X 32
29.5N  99.0W      17  9  1  1 28   BROWNSVILLE TX     2  3  2  4 11
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  1  1  2
NEW IBERIA LA      X  1  X  2  3   GULF 28N 93W       9  2  X  1 12
PORT ARTHUR TX     6  3  2  1 12   GULF 28N 95W      99  X  X  X 99
GALVESTON TX      24  X  1  X 25   GULF 27N 96W      24  1  X  X 25
FREEPORT TX       42  X  X  X 42   GULF 25N 96W       X  1  1  3  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM SAT TO  7AM SUN
C FROM  7AM SUN TO  7PM SUN
D FROM  7PM SUN TO  7PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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