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TROPICAL STORM FAY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT FRI SEP 06 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  95.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT MON SEP  9 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.7N  96.0W      67  X  X  X 67   FREEPORT TX       70  X  X  X 70
29.3N  97.0W      34  X  1  X 35   PORT O CONNOR TX  52  X  X  X 52
29.7N  98.0W      20  5  1  1 27   CORPUSCHRISTI TX  16  3  1  2 22
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X  3  3   BROWNSVILLE TX     1  2  3  4 10
BURAS LA           X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 91W       X  1  1  2  4
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 93W      10  3  1  1 15
NEW IBERIA LA      1  1  2  3  7   GULF 28N 95W      99  X  X  X 99
PORT ARTHUR TX    13  3  1  1 18   GULF 27N 96W      19  1  1  1 22
GALVESTON TX      50  X  X  X 50   GULF 25N 96W       X  1  2  3  6
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM SAT TO  7PM SAT
C FROM  7PM SAT TO  7AM SUN
D FROM  7AM SUN TO  7AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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